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Expert Political Judgment
Language: en
Pages: 368
Authors: Philip E. Tetlock
Categories: Political Science
Type: BOOK - Published: 2017-08-29 - Publisher: Princeton University Press

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Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic i
Expert Political Judgment
Language: en
Pages: 367
Authors: Philip E. Tetlock
Categories: Political Science
Type: BOOK - Published: 2017-08-29 - Publisher: Princeton University Press

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Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic i
Superforecasting
Language: en
Pages: 352
Authors: Philip E. Tetlock
Categories: Business & Economics
Type: BOOK - Published: 2015-09-29 - Publisher: Crown

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NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST “The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thi
The Hedgehog and the Fox
Language: en
Pages: 143
Authors: Isaiah Berlin
Categories: Philosophy
Type: BOOK - Published: 2013-06-02 - Publisher: Princeton University Press

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"The fox knows many things, but the hedgehog knows one big thing." This ancient Greek aphorism, preserved in a fragment from the poet Archilochus, describes the
Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics
Language: en
Pages: 355
Authors: Philip E. Tetlock
Categories: Political Science
Type: BOOK - Published: 2020-06-30 - Publisher: Princeton University Press

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Political scientists often ask themselves what might have been if history had unfolded differently: if Stalin had been ousted as General Party Secretary or if t